Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Sacramento State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 76.4% | 23.6% | -6.5 | ✗ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 96.3% | 3.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento State Hornets +3 (83-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Miller | 37 | 8-15 | 6-12 | 3-4 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 28 | +8.3 |
| C. King | 35 | 8-18 | 3-10 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 12 | - |
| P. McMahon | 35 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | +6.4 |
| J. Davis | 29 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +8.2 |
| J. Steppe | 24 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +2.9 |
| S. Amunrud | 21 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +8.3 |
| C. Hodges | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | +5.5 |
| H. Keene | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Lavrenov | 38 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 3-5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -8.4 |
| M. Williams | 36 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 15 | -7.7 |
| P. Johnson | 35 | 12-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 19 | -6.5 |
| A. Madi | 29 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | -4.8 |
| J. Summers | 26 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -5.5 |
| R. Robinson | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2.9 |
| S. O'Neal | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.6 |
| T. Glover | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.9 |
* = starter