Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Colorado Buffaloes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.6% | 85.4% | +9.7 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 95.5% | 4.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado Buffaloes +6 (84-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. King | 34 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| C. Holden | 33 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | -5.4 |
| J. Miller | 30 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | -3.4 |
| C. Hodges | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | -1.1 |
| P. McMahon | 28 | 10-13 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 16 | -4.3 |
| D. Brown | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -2.5 |
| J. Davis | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3.5 |
| W. Mbatch | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -0.9 |
| J. Steppe | 6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +3.3 |
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Rancik | 32 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | +2.3 |
| B. Hargress | 30 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | +3.5 |
| I. Johnson | 26 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 10-12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 15 | -6.3 |
| E. Malone | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 30 | +5.7 |
| B. Dak | 24 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 15 | +2.4 |
| F. Kossaras | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | +8.6 |
| J. Holland | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -2.3 |
| J. Sanders | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -3.3 |
| I. Inman | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.8 |
| F. Ifaola | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Crawford | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter