Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.1% | 88.9% | +11.4 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +4 (62-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Miller * | 35 | 3-13 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -2 | +0.5 |
| C. Hodges * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -11.5 |
| P. McMahon * | 29 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | -12.5 |
| C. Holden * | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -8.6 |
| C. King * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Brown | 25 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | -0.3 |
| J. Davis | 22 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +1.5 |
| W. Mbatch | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +9.4 |
| J. Steppe | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +10.5 |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Buchanan * | 32 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 7-7 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 18 | +5.3 |
| D. Fielder * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | +4.5 |
| D. Andrews * | 31 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 8-9 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | +2.6 |
| RJ Keene * | 27 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +7.6 |
| A. Meadow * | 27 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | +10.7 |
| P. Carmichael | 17 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | -6.6 |
| A. Neto | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -1.2 |
| S. Ahrens | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -11.2 |
| D. Parolin | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -0.2 |
| J. Bowie | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter