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2025-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Montana State Bobcats Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 23.0% 77.0% -
Bradley-Terry 20.2% 79.8% -
Margin 11.1% 88.9% +11.4 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% -
Efficiency 27.4% 72.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.1% 91.9% -
Log Adjusted 8.0% 92.0% -
Points Off/Def 23.0% 77.0% -

Actual: Boise State Broncos +4 (62-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Miller * 35 3-13 1-8 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 7 -2 +0.5
C. Hodges * 29 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 4 1 -11.5
P. McMahon * 29 4-13 1-2 0-3 6 1 0 0 1 9 2 -12.5
C. Holden * 19 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 3 2 -8.6
C. King * 19 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 2 -
D. Brown 25 5-11 3-7 3-4 4 1 1 0 2 16 9 -0.3
J. Davis 22 3-5 2-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 8 8 +1.5
W. Mbatch 11 2-4 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 1 0 5 7 +9.4
J. Steppe 11 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 4 +10.5

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Buchanan * 32 5-11 2-5 7-7 9 0 2 0 1 19 18 +5.3
D. Fielder * 32 4-8 0-1 5-6 5 1 0 1 1 13 11 +4.5
D. Andrews * 31 1-7 0-3 8-9 5 5 1 0 1 10 13 +2.6
RJ Keene * 27 0-6 0-4 0-0 6 2 1 0 1 0 2 +7.6
A. Meadow * 27 5-9 4-7 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 14 8 +10.7
P. Carmichael 17 2-6 2-6 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 6 1 -6.6
A. Neto 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -1.2
S. Ahrens 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -11.2
D. Parolin 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 4 -0.2
J. Bowie 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter