Model Predictions
| Model | Portland State Vikings | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.6% | 60.4% | +1.6 | ✓ (13.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | +3.4 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats +15 (84-69). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Portland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin Henderson * | 36 | 7-19 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 7 | -16.9 |
| Terri Miller Jr. * | 31 | 10-15 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 18 | -6.2 |
| T. Minott * | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -14.2 |
| Keyon Kensie Jr. * | 26 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -15.0 |
| Kelcy Phipps * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -13.9 |
| Brycen Long | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | -10.2 |
| Alex Dupre | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Isaiah Williams | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.3 |
| Sebastian Tidor | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2.7 |
| Samuel Stewart IV | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Brayden Barron | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3.2 |
| Mozae Downing-Rivers | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Charles Chukwu | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.1 |
| Colt Ness | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +4.0 |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Miller * | 38 | 7-15 | 4-8 | 7-9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 25 | +13.3 |
| Christian King * | 31 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 3 | +9.4 |
| Chris Hodges * | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +14.8 |
| Jeremiah Davis * | 27 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +13.0 |
| Patrick McMahon * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +7.0 |
| Howie Keene | 30 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +10.1 |
| Seth Amunrud | 29 | 8-11 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 17 | -0.2 |
| Jaden Steppe | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +2.9 |
* = starter