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Michigan

Also known as: Michigan Wolverines, Michigan
Program History

2006 Team Stats (12 games)

73.1
PPG
75.9
Opp
-2.8
Margin
47.2%
FG%
35.2%
3P%
77.2%
FT%
33.3
RPG
15.0
APG
16.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
74.5
Adj PPG
64.5
Adj Opp PPG
#41
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2005-2006
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1198 (#45) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1192 (#44) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +97 elo More โ†’ 1044 (#96) HCA +97 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ +10.9 (#39) HCA +3.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +10.0 (#42) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.702 (#68) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +18.9 More โ†’ 0.899 (#26) AdjNet +18.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +19.1 More โ†’ 0.901 (#26) AdjNet +19.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 64.5 More โ†’ 0.713 (#41) AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 64.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 66.5 More โ†’ 0.630 (#59) AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 66.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.762 (#37) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.748 (#38) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 87 | GP 33 More โ†’ 1213 (#38) RD 87 | GP 33

2006 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2005-11-18 vs Central Michigan Chippewas W 87 - 60
2005-11-22 @ Boston University Terriers W 51 - 46
2005-11-26 vs Butler Bulldogs W 78 - 74
2005-11-29 vs Miami Hurricanes W 74 - 53
2005-12-03 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 71 - 67
2005-12-07 vs Delaware State Hornets W 69 - 49
2005-12-10 @ South Florida Bulls W 68 - 47
2005-12-17 vs UCLA Bruins L 61 - 68
2005-12-22 vs Miami (OH) Redhawks W 87 - 80
2005-12-28 vs Coppin State Eagles W 81 - 53
2005-12-31 vs Chicago State Cougars W 86 - 69
2006-01-03 @ Indiana Hoosiers L 63 - 70
2006-01-07 vs Purdue Boilermakers W 68 - 65
2006-01-14 @ Illinois Fighting Illini L 74 - 79
2006-01-18 vs Northwestern Wildcats W 68 - 51
2006-01-21 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers W 71 - 55
2006-01-25 vs Michigan State Spartans W 72 - 67
2006-01-28 vs Wisconsin Badgers W 85 - 76
2006-02-01 @ Penn State Nittany Lions W 71 - 65
2006-02-04 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 66 - 94
2006-02-09 vs Ohio State Buckeyes L 85 - 94
2006-02-11 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 70 - 84
2006-02-15 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers W 72 - 50
2006-02-18 @ Michigan State Spartans L 71 - 90
2006-02-21 vs Illinois Fighting Illini W 72 - 64
2006-02-25 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 54 - 64
2006-03-04 vs Indiana Hoosiers L 67 - 69
2006-03-09 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers L 55 - 59
2006-03-16 vs UTEP Miners W 82 - 67
2006-03-20 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 87 - 84
2006-03-22 vs Miami Hurricanes W 71 - 65
2006-03-28 vs Old Dominion Monarchs W 66 - 43
2006-03-30 vs South Carolina Gamecocks L 64 - 76

2006 Roster

No roster data available for this season.