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2005-12-03

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Notre Dame Fighting Irish Spread Result
Elo 89.1% 10.9% -
Bradley-Terry 38.1% 61.9% -
Margin 32.3% 67.7% +4.1 (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.9% 54.1% -
Efficiency 27.6% 72.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.2% 58.8% -
Log Adjusted 41.1% 58.9% -

Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -4 (67-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Horton * 39 7-14 3-6 2-2 1 7 2 1 2 19 14 -
D. Harris * 36 5-14 2-7 0-0 6 3 1 0 1 12 7 -
G. Brown * 34 6-6 0-0 1-1 10 1 1 2 2 13 19 -
C. Sims * 31 4-9 0-0 3-4 9 1 2 2 3 11 13 -
L. Abram * 28 0-5 0-0 4-4 2 1 2 1 2 4 3 -
R. Coleman 15 2-6 2-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 6 4 -
C. Hunter 12 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 6 2 -
J. Smith 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Quinn * 40 9-18 4-7 4-4 2 3 0 1 2 26 12 -
T. Francis * 37 8-16 0-0 6-7 13 1 1 3 2 22 22 -
R. Carter * 33 2-7 0-3 0-0 7 4 2 0 3 4 7 -
C. Falls * 28 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 1 1 1 1 0 1 -
L. Zeller * 23 3-9 2-6 0-3 6 2 0 0 1 8 6 -
R. Kurz 17 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 1 3 3 1 -
R. Ayers 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
K. McAlarney 9 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
R. Cornett 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter