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2006-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 26.8% 73.2% -
Bradley-Terry 52.1% 47.9% -
Margin 43.3% 56.7% +1.5 (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 57.3% 42.7% -
Efficiency 93.1% 6.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.9% 27.1% -
Log Adjusted 72.9% 27.1% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines -9 (85-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Butler * 34 7-10 2-2 4-4 5 5 1 1 1 20 21 -
J.J. Sullinger * 28 5-7 3-3 0-2 3 4 1 0 1 13 13 -
M. Sylvester * 27 3-10 0-4 0-0 2 4 1 1 1 6 3 -
T. Dials * 24 4-10 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 1 0 9 5 -
J. Foster 33 6-7 5-6 0-1 4 5 2 0 4 17 17 -
R. Lewis 25 5-7 2-4 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 14 8 -
M. Terwilliger 16 2-2 0-0 0-2 0 1 0 1 0 4 4 -
I. Harris 13 4-6 3-5 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 11 6 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Horton * 37 5-17 3-8 2-3 3 10 5 0 6 15 10 -
R. Coleman * 35 6-11 1-4 2-2 5 2 0 0 1 15 10 -
C. Sims * 34 13-16 0-0 0-1 16 2 0 4 4 26 28 -
D. Harris * 32 5-9 4-7 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 14 9 -
G. Brown * 24 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 2 0 6 -
C. Hunter 14 4-8 0-2 5-5 2 0 0 0 0 13 7 -
J. Shepherd 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 2 2 -
B. Petway 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
H. Grooms 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter