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2006-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 35.9% 64.1% -
Bradley-Terry 38.5% 61.5% -
Margin 28.0% 72.0% +5.2 (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 49.3% 50.7% -
Efficiency 80.6% 19.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.9% 50.1% -
Log Adjusted 50.0% 50.0% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +9 (85-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Taylor * 38 10-18 5-9 4-4 4 1 0 0 3 29 13 -
A. Tucker * 36 8-16 0-2 5-8 2 4 2 0 1 21 12 -
J. Chappell * 32 1-5 0-0 2-2 7 4 1 0 3 4 8 -
R. Nixon * 27 5-7 3-5 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 13 9 -
B. Butch * 17 1-6 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
J. Krabbenhoft 21 0-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 2 0 3 -
K. Gullikson 20 1-5 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 4 3 -
M. Flowers 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 2 3 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Harris * 37 8-12 5-9 2-2 4 1 0 0 2 23 14 -
D. Horton * 31 2-10 0-4 10-10 5 5 2 1 3 14 14 -
R. Coleman * 30 1-2 1-2 0-0 4 2 0 1 4 3 4 -
G. Brown * 26 3-3 0-0 1-3 12 3 0 0 1 7 18 -
C. Sims * 15 8-10 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 3 18 9 -
C. Hunter 25 4-10 1-5 6-7 3 1 2 0 3 15 8 -
J. Smith 18 0-2 0-1 1-2 0 3 0 0 2 1 0 -
B. Petway 14 2-2 0-0 0-1 2 0 1 1 0 4 6 -
J. Shepherd 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter