Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.9% | 77.1% | +6.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines +8 (72-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Augustine * | 40 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 24 | - |
| D. Brown * | 39 | 8-19 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 4 | - |
| B. Randle * | 35 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| R. McBride * | 35 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| S. Pruitt * | 18 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| C. Frazier | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| W. Carter | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Smith | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Arnold | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Horton * | 38 | 13-20 | 5-7 | 8-8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 39 | 22 | - |
| D. Harris * | 35 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| G. Brown * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 9 | - |
| R. Coleman * | 32 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| C. Sims * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14 | - |
| J. Smith | 15 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| B. Petway | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Shepherd | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter