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2006-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 21.6% 78.4% -
Bradley-Terry 38.6% 61.4% -
Margin 29.8% 70.2% +4.7 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 40.0% 60.0% -
Efficiency 79.1% 20.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.6% 69.4% -
Log Adjusted 30.4% 69.6% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines -2 (67-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Vaden * 38 4-11 3-8 2-2 3 0 1 0 5 13 1 -
M. Strickland * 38 4-12 2-7 2-2 2 3 2 0 3 12 4 -
M. Killingsworth * 33 9-13 0-0 1-2 13 3 2 0 6 19 18 -
A.J. Ratliff * 20 2-4 1-1 0-0 1 3 0 1 1 5 5 -
E. Calloway * 15 1-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 3 0 0 3 4 -
R. Wilmont 24 4-8 0-2 5-6 5 3 2 0 2 13 13 -
E. Suhr 16 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 3 4 -
L. Monroe 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Allen 7 0-3 0-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 -1 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Horton * 36 9-17 3-6 13-13 4 0 2 1 6 34 18 -
G. Brown * 31 5-7 0-0 0-1 9 0 1 0 5 10 8 -
H. Grooms * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
A. Ba * 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Harrell * 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
R. Coleman 35 3-6 1-3 2-5 4 2 0 1 2 9 8 -
D. Harris 34 2-10 1-6 2-2 4 1 0 0 3 7 -1 -
C. Sims 22 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 3 0 1 2 1 5 -
B. Petway 19 2-4 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 2 1 5 7 -
J. Smith 13 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 0 2 0 4 1 -2 -

* = starter