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2005-12-17

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 18.1% 81.9% -
Bradley-Terry 45.5% 54.5% -
Margin 34.6% 65.4% +3.5 (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 57.2% 42.8% -
Efficiency 90.9% 9.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.3% 14.7% -
Log Adjusted 85.3% 14.7% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines -7 (61-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Afflalo * 37 7-14 6-9 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 20 9 -
J. Farmar * 35 7-15 3-5 4-7 5 2 2 0 4 21 11 -
L. Mbah a Moute * 33 2-8 0-3 0-0 9 2 0 1 3 4 5 -
C. Bozeman * 31 2-4 1-3 1-2 3 5 3 0 4 6 9 -
R. Wright * 24 4-5 0-0 0-1 8 0 1 0 1 8 11 -
D. Collison 17 2-5 0-1 3-4 1 5 3 0 2 7 9 -
L. Mata-Real 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 2 0 3 -
A. Aboya 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
R. Hollins 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Fey 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Abram * 38 5-9 2-4 0-0 6 2 1 0 2 12 10 -
D. Harris * 37 6-11 2-5 0-0 4 2 3 0 1 14 11 -
D. Horton * 33 5-17 0-7 0-1 3 6 0 0 5 10 -3 -
C. Sims * 26 1-2 0-0 4-5 7 0 0 4 4 6 11 -
G. Brown * 21 0-0 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 0 2 2 7 -
C. Hunter 27 5-8 1-3 4-6 8 1 1 1 3 15 15 -
J. Smith 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
R. Coleman 6 1-5 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -3 -
J. Shepherd 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter