Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.6% | 62.4% | +2.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines +3 (68-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Heber * | 39 | 8-12 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 23 | - |
| C. Lutz * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -6 | - |
| B. Dillon * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| G. Ware * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| M. Green * | 19 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Spates | 30 | 6-15 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| M. White | 16 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 4 | - |
| C. Hartley | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Carroll | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Horton * | 37 | 7-20 | 5-9 | 5-5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 7 | - |
| D. Harris * | 28 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Sims * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | - |
| G. Brown * | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| R. Coleman * | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Smith | 26 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| B. Petway | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| C. Hunter | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Shepherd | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| H. Grooms | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter