Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.0% | 49.0% | -0.2 | ✗ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +5 (79-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Horton * | 39 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | - |
| D. Harris * | 34 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| C. Sims * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| J. Smith * | 23 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| G. Brown * | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| L. Abram | 22 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| B. Petway | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| C. Hunter | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Coleman | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| H. Grooms | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Brown * | 40 | 6-17 | 5-10 | 9-10 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 15 | - |
| J. Augustine * | 33 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 25 | - |
| B. Randle * | 31 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| R. McBride * | 26 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -2 | - |
| S. Pruitt * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Smith | 23 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| M. Arnold | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| W. Carter | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter