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2006-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Minnesota Golden Gophers Spread Result
Elo 80.5% 19.5% -
Bradley-Terry 54.2% 45.8% -
Margin 54.7% 45.3% -1.0 (15.0 off)
Pythagorean 54.0% 46.0% -
Efficiency 40.8% 59.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.4% 29.6% -
Log Adjusted 70.5% 29.5% -

Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers -16 (55-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Horton * 36 8-16 6-10 10-10 3 1 4 1 6 32 19 -
G. Brown * 27 3-6 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 0 6 9 -
D. Harris * 26 6-9 3-5 1-1 4 4 1 1 1 16 16 -
L. Abram * 19 3-5 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 6 4 -
C. Sims * 14 0-6 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 4 0 -4 -
B. Petway 26 3-5 0-1 0-0 4 1 2 2 0 6 10 -
J. Smith 21 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 0 4 -
R. Coleman 16 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 2 0 0 0 3 5 -
C. Hunter 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 3 0 -3 -
H. Grooms 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Shepherd 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Ba 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Harrell 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Hargrow * 37 5-12 2-7 4-7 5 2 1 0 3 16 9 -
V. Grier * 36 1-8 0-2 2-2 4 3 1 0 4 4 0 -
Adam Boone * 31 0-5 0-4 1-2 4 5 0 1 1 1 5 -
J. Stamper * 29 6-10 0-0 0-0 11 0 2 0 2 12 13 -
J. Williams * 13 1-3 0-0 0-2 3 1 0 3 0 2 6 -
D. Coleman 19 3-5 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 7 2 -
S. Tollackson 17 5-8 0-0 3-4 1 1 1 0 2 13 6 -
R. Tucker 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 5 0 -4 -
J. Abu-Shamala 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
R. Saunders 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Z. Puchtel 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter