Model Predictions
| Model | Butler Bulldogs | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.3% | 81.7% | +8.2 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines +4 (78-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Polk | 36 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 14 | - |
| A.J. Graves | 35 | 9-18 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 9 | - |
| A. Sheets | 31 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| B. Horan | 27 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| B. Crone | 24 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| M. Nellems | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Ligon | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Betko | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Streicher | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Horton | 38 | 9-13 | 1-2 | 9-9 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 29 | - |
| L. Abram | 34 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| D. Harris | 31 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| C. Sims | 30 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| G. Brown | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| R. Coleman | 18 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| J. Smith | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Hunter | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Shepherd | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter