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2006-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 8.6% 91.4% -
Bradley-Terry 30.2% 69.8% -
Margin 18.7% 81.3% +8.1 (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 37.8% 62.2% -
Efficiency 44.7% 55.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.1% 87.9% -
Log Adjusted 12.0% 88.0% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +17 (68-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Vukusic * 34 6-17 3-7 0-0 2 0 1 0 4 15 -3 -
C. Moore * 31 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 6 1 -
T. Doyle * 28 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 0 5 4 3 -
S. Williams * 26 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 2 -1 -
B. Cote * 13 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 2 1 -
M. Hachad 24 4-7 0-1 9-12 3 1 2 0 2 17 14 -
A. Carson 19 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 0 5 -
M. Jenkins 16 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 5 -
E. Seacat 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Ross 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Houlihan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Harris * 31 6-12 3-7 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 15 6 -
G. Brown * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 4 3 0 1 0 13 -
D. Horton * 26 2-7 0-2 0-0 1 8 2 1 4 4 5 -
C. Sims * 18 2-2 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 2 1 5 5 -
J. Smith * 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 2 -1 -
L. Abram 34 9-12 2-5 0-0 3 4 1 0 0 20 16 -
C. Hunter 16 4-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 8 6 -
B. Petway 13 3-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 6 7 -
R. Coleman 12 3-3 2-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 8 7 -
J. Shepherd 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
A. Ba 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Harrell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter