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2006-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 70.0% 30.0% -
Bradley-Terry 45.6% 54.4% -
Margin 40.3% 59.7% +2.2 (25.8 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% -
Efficiency 5.1% 94.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.4% 62.6% -
Log Adjusted 37.5% 62.5% -

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +28 (94-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Harris * 32 4-10 3-7 2-6 3 3 2 0 0 13 11 -
R. Coleman * 32 1-11 1-6 0-2 5 3 3 0 3 3 0 -
D. Horton * 31 5-10 1-4 8-9 0 3 2 0 2 19 12 -
C. Sims * 27 4-6 0-0 4-7 6 1 1 0 4 12 10 -
G. Brown * 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 4 5 -
B. Petway 21 3-4 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 2 1 7 7 -
H. Grooms 16 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 4 3 2 -
C. Hunter 12 2-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 -
S. Harrell 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Shepherd 5 0-1 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Horner * 35 5-10 2-5 2-3 4 6 1 0 5 14 10 -
A. Haluska * 33 5-6 4-5 4-5 2 5 1 0 3 18 17 -
M. Henderson * 29 4-6 3-3 0-2 2 4 1 0 2 11 10 -
G. Brunner * 27 5-7 0-0 7-9 9 3 2 0 3 17 21 -
E. Hansen * 22 3-5 0-0 2-3 4 0 0 1 1 8 7 -
T. Freeman 16 3-4 2-3 2-2 2 4 2 0 3 10 11 -
D. Thomas 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 4 6 -
A. Thompson 13 3-4 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 7 8 -
S. Gorney 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Wieck 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Reed 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
B. Wessels 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter