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2006-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Golden Gophers Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 10.8% 89.2% -
Bradley-Terry 32.2% 67.8% -
Margin 20.4% 79.6% +7.5 (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 40.0% 60.0% -
Efficiency 53.2% 46.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.6% 76.4% -
Log Adjusted 23.5% 76.5% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines -4 (55-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Grier * 37 3-8 0-0 5-10 3 1 0 0 6 11 1 -
M. Hargrow * 37 5-11 1-4 4-5 2 4 2 1 2 15 11 -
Adam Boone * 32 3-8 1-3 2-6 1 6 2 0 2 9 8 -
Z. Puchtel * 28 1-2 0-0 1-2 15 2 2 0 3 3 17 -
J. Stamper * 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
D. Coleman 26 5-11 0-2 0-0 7 0 1 0 1 10 6 -
S. Tollackson 18 3-6 0-0 3-5 3 1 2 3 1 9 11 -
R. Tucker 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -
J. Abu-Shamala 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Williams 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Harris * 35 6-15 4-11 0-0 1 4 2 0 5 16 3 -
D. Horton * 34 6-13 0-3 2-2 3 4 2 0 5 14 5 -
R. Coleman * 30 1-6 0-3 0-0 4 0 1 0 3 2 -2 -
G. Brown * 25 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 4 6 -
C. Sims * 24 2-4 0-0 0-2 5 1 1 1 2 4 6 -
B. Petway 17 3-5 0-0 3-4 6 0 0 1 1 9 10 -
C. Hunter 13 1-6 0-3 1-1 3 0 0 2 2 3 0 -
L. Abram 13 0-2 0-1 2-2 3 2 0 1 2 2 4 -
J. Smith 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
H. Grooms 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter