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2006-03-20

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 5.8% 94.2% -
Bradley-Terry 47.8% 52.2% -
Margin 39.4% 60.6% +2.4 (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 48.1% 51.9% -
Efficiency 66.4% 33.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.8% 47.2% -
Log Adjusted 52.9% 47.1% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +3 (87-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Quinn 50 7-17 1-7 3-4 3 9 1 0 7 18 7 -
T. Francis 46 3-5 0-0 8-10 9 1 1 1 1 14 20 -
C. Falls 36 5-9 2-5 1-1 0 0 2 0 6 13 0 -
R. Ayers 34 2-3 1-1 2-2 4 0 0 1 0 7 9 -
R. Cornett 31 5-9 0-0 5-6 6 0 1 0 3 15 10 -
R. Carter 26 3-7 2-5 0-1 5 1 2 0 2 8 7 -
R. Kurz 22 3-7 0-1 3-3 4 2 1 1 0 9 10 -
L. Zeller 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Z. Hillesland 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Horton 47 10-19 3-7 6-7 2 8 3 0 3 29 20 -
D. Harris 43 6-15 3-9 0-0 4 4 1 0 2 15 7 -
G. Brown 39 2-3 0-0 1-4 9 1 3 0 1 5 14 -
C. Hunter 35 5-12 1-5 4-5 7 0 3 2 2 15 13 -
L. Abram 34 3-10 1-2 8-9 7 0 0 0 1 15 11 -
C. Sims 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 1 4 3 -
R. Coleman 14 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 1 0 -2 -
B. Petway 11 2-3 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 1 1 4 3 -
J. Smith 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
S. Harrell 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter