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Illinois State

Also known as: Illinois State Redbirds, Illinois State
Program History

2012 Team Stats (3 games)

69.0
PPG
65.2
Opp
+4.6
Margin
43.6%
FG%
32.9%
3P%
71.8%
FT%
28.0
RPG
12.3
APG
9.3
TO
74.7
Pace

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1335 (#145) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1301 (#141) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More → +25.8 (#128) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.558 (#48) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -24.7 More → 0.077 (#186) NetEff -24.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.5 More → 0.677 (#40) AdjNet +6.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.6 More → 0.680 (#40) AdjNet +6.6

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 @ Fresno State Bulldogs L 47 - 55
2011-11-17 vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 68 - 38
2011-11-19 vs Lipscomb Bisons W 78 - 70
2011-11-22 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 76 - 70
2011-11-23 vs Illinois Fighting Illini L 59 - 63
2011-11-27 vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 75 - 51
2011-11-30 vs Chicago State Cougars W 85 - 41
2011-12-03 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 54 - 63
2011-12-07 @ Morehead State Eagles W 78 - 73
2011-12-18 vs Norfolk State Spartans W 68 - 36
2011-12-20 vs Little Rock Trojans W 72 - 65
2011-12-29 vs Northern Iowa Panthers W 65 - 61
2012-01-01 @ Southern Illinois Salukis L 71 - 86
2012-01-04 @ Missouri State Bears W 68 - 60
2012-01-07 vs Evansville Purple Aces W 75 - 73
2012-01-10 @ Wichita State Shockers L 62 - 65
2012-01-13 vs Creighton Bluejays L 78 - 87
2012-01-15 @ Drake Bulldogs L 60 - 77
2012-01-18 vs Indiana State Sycamores W 67 - 54
2012-01-25 vs Missouri State Bears W 76 - 69
2012-01-28 vs Southern Illinois Salukis W 60 - 40
2012-02-01 @ Creighton Bluejays L 74 - 102
2012-02-04 vs Bradley Braves W 78 - 48
2012-02-08 vs Drake Bulldogs W 64 - 53
2012-02-14 @ Indiana State Sycamores L 77 - 83
2012-02-18 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 79 - 75
2012-02-22 vs Wichita State Shockers L 55 - 68
2012-02-25 @ Bradley Braves W 54 - 53
2012-03-02 vs Northern Iowa Panthers W 54 - 42
2012-03-03 @ Wichita State Shockers W 65 - 64
2012-03-04 @ Creighton Bluejays L 79 - 83
2012-03-14 @ Ole Miss Rebels W 96 - 93
2012-03-19 @ Stanford Cardinal L 88 - 92

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Carmichael J. Carmichael F 33 28.9 14.1 9.6 1.0 0.6 1.5 2.2 2.5 22.1 - - - 53.7 100.0 64.6 - 225.5 54.3
T. Brown T. Brown G 32 31.0 14.0 3.7 2.3 1.0 0.1 2.5 4.0 14.8 30 5.0 19.7 41.7 42.6 74.4 1.22 153.9 52.0
N. Moore N. Moore G 33 28.2 9.8 2.2 3.8 1.0 0.0 2.3 2.0 12.5 - - - 28.8 22.9 73.5 - 200.7 34.8
J. Ekey J. Ekey F 33 29.4 9.1 5.1 1.5 0.6 0.7 0.6 2.4 13.9 - - - 45.0 42.6 80.0 - 182.5 57.5
B. Allen B. Allen G 23 21.0 7.6 1.4 0.9 0.5 0.1 1.0 2.8 6.7 - - - 56.2 54.3 87.5 - 122.5 71.1
J. Wilkins J. Wilkins G-F 33 23.4 7.5 4.5 0.6 0.4 0.8 1.0 2.1 10.6 19 1.7 4.7 44.1 29.0 83.3 0.83 138.0 50.7
A. Cousin A. Cousin G 33 25.7 4.6 1.8 2.4 0.7 0.0 1.3 1.6 6.7 - - - 36.5 22.6 81.0 - 124.9 43.3
J. Threloff J. Threloff C 28 10.6 3.1 3.3 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 5.9 - - - 52.2 0 50.0 - 164.0 52.2
J. Hill J. Hill G 23 8.5 2.2 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.7 3.1 29 2.6 4.7 56.2 25.0 87.5 1.09 128.1 59.4
Z. Upshaw Z. Upshaw G 23 6.0 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 1550.0 0.0
T. Blue T. Blue G 13 7.2 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.8 0.2 1.2 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 200.0 0.0
D. Clark D. Clark G 11 4.9 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 83.3 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG