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2012-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 12.8% 87.2% -
Bradley-Terry 13.6% 86.4% -
Margin 8.7% 91.3% +12.9 (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 40.1% 59.9% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.2% 63.8% -
Log Adjusted 36.1% 63.9% -

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +4 (83-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Brown * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 16 21 -
N. Moore * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 0 0 2 20 27 -
J. Carmichael * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 2 1 17 27 -
J. Ekey * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 3 1 13 20 -
J. Wilkins * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 5 9 -
B. Allen 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 5 8 -
A. Cousin 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 3 10 -
Z. Upshaw 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. McDermott * 41 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 3 33 37 -
G. Gibbs * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 5 1 0 0 20 33 -
A. Young * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 4 14 18 -
G. Echenique * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 1 8 16 -
J. Manigat * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 3 6 -
J. Jones 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 2 8 -
E. Wragge 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 3 6 -
A. Chatman 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
A. Dingman 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
W. Artino 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter