Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.0% | 22.0% | -7.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 92.0% | 8.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -4 (59-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Leonard | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| D.J. Richardson | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| S. Maniscalco | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 14 | - |
| B. Paul | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 24 | - |
| T. Griffey | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Bertrand | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| N. Egwu | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Shaw | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Abrams | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Ekey | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 22 | - |
| T. Brown | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| J. Wilkins | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| A. Cousin | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | - |
| J. Carmichael | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| N. Moore | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Blue | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Threloff | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Hill | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter