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2011-12-07

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds Morehead State Eagles Spread Result
Elo 70.5% 29.5% -
Bradley-Terry 55.3% 44.7% -
Margin 65.2% 34.8% -3.4 (1.6 off)
Efficiency 5.9% 94.1% -

Actual: Morehead State Eagles -5 (73-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Brown * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 6 1 0 6 13 17 -
A. Cousin * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 3 0 1 3 7 -
N. Moore * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 5 1 0 1 10 15 -
J. Carmichael * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 3 1 1 2 17 30 -
J. Ekey * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 1 1 17 23 -
Z. Upshaw 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 8 9 -
J. Wilkins 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 10 11 -
J. Threloff 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Morehead State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Hill * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 0 2 9 15 -
D. Kelly * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 11 17 -
T. Proffitt * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 18 21 -
A. Warner * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 2 6 8 -
K. Owens * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 4 8 -
M. Holden 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 3 0 0 21 27 -
M. Chavis 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 3 4 6 -
L. Austin 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 0 2 -
D. Mathieu 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Ferguson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
J. Percell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter