Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Stanford Cardinal | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.3% | 79.7% | +7.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stanford Cardinal +4 (92-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Carmichael * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 32 | - |
| T. Brown * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 22 | - |
| N. Moore * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 26 | - |
| J. Ekey * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 22 | - |
| J. Wilkins * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 19 | - |
| B. Allen | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| A. Cousin | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Z. Upshaw | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Stanford Cardinal
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Ogwumike | 0 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| J. Tinkle | 0 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| T. Kokenis | 0 | 2-14 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| A. Orrange | 0 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - |
| C. Ogwumike | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| C. Randle * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 23 | - |
| J. Owens * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 17 | - |
| A. Brown * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| J. Mann * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| A. Zimmermann * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Bright | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 34 | - |
| D. Powell | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 28 | - |
| J. Huestis | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
* = starter