Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Iowa Panthers | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.6% | 52.4% | +0.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +4 (65-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Moran * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| J. Koch * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - |
| A. James * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 25 | - |
| S. Tuttle * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| D. Mitchell * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Sonnen | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| M. Morrison | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| C. Rank | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| A. Pehl | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Ekey * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 26 | - |
| J. Carmichael * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 34 | - |
| A. Cousin * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| J. Wilkins * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | - |
| N. Moore * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 16 | - |
| T. Brown | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Hill | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Z. Upshaw | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Threloff | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Allen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter