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Northern Iowa Panthers 42
@
Illinois State Redbirds 54
2012-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Northern Iowa Panthers Illinois State Redbirds Spread Result
Elo 39.2% 60.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 54.3% 45.7% - ✗
Margin 47.6% 52.4% +0.5 ✓ (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 51.6% 48.4% - ✗
Efficiency 92.1% 7.9% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 43.3% 56.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 42.8% 57.2% - ✓

Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +12 (54-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Moran * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 13 19 -
M. Sonnen * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 6 10 -
J. Koch * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 3 0 1 2 9 19 -
D. Mitchell * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 2 3 -
S. Tuttle * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 2 8 -
A. James 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 2 7 -
C. Rank 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 6 10 -
A. Pehl 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 6 -
M. Morrison 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Carmichael * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 15 2 0 5 0 16 38 -
T. Brown * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 2 7 13 -
N. Moore * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 8 13 -
J. Ekey * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 3 0 4 11 -
J. Wilkins * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 6 11 -
B. Allen 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 3 8 12 -
A. Cousin 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 7 -
Z. Upshaw 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Darious Clark 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter