Model Predictions
| Model | Wichita State Shockers | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.9% | 29.1% | -4.9 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -13 (55-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wichita State Shockers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Smith * | 37 | 3-12 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| D. Williams * | 33 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| J. Ragland * | 32 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| G. Stutz * | 30 | 5-15 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 10 | - |
| T. Murry * | 17 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| D. Kyles | 25 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| T. Cotton | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Hall | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. White | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Brown * | 34 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. Wilkins * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| J. Ekey * | 23 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Moore * | 22 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | - |
| J. Carmichael * | 20 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| B. Allen | 31 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | - |
| A. Cousin | 29 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J. Threloff | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
* = starter