Model Predictions
| Model | Bradley Braves | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.7% | 63.3% | +3.0 | ✓ (27.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +30 (78-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Simms-Edwards * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| J. Eastman * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| T. Brown * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Prosser * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| C. Woods * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| W. Lemon Jr. | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| J. Crawford | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| S. Shayok | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Thompson | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Player #56399 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Stewart | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Knezevic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Moore * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 20 | - |
| T. Brown * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 27 | - |
| J. Wilkins * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| J. Ekey * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| J. Carmichael * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 17 | - |
| A. Cousin | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| B. Allen | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| J. Threloff | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | - |
| J. Hill | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| T. Blue | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Z. Upshaw | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter