Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Southern Illinois Salukis | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.1% | 53.9% | +0.9 | ✓ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.5% | 8.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.5% | 8.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis +15 (86-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Ekey * | 34 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| T. Brown * | 31 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| A. Cousin * | 30 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| N. Moore * | 25 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| J. Wilkins * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Carmichael | 31 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. Hill | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| B. Allen | 13 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Darious Clark | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Threloff | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Brown-Surles * | 36 | 4-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. Seck * | 32 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| T.J. Lindsay * | 32 | 6-9 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| T. Setty * | 25 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 17 | - |
| T. Daniels * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Swan | 24 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| J. Early | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D. Drinkard | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Taylor | 8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| K. Goff | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter