Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Bradley Braves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.0% | 64.0% | +3.2 | ✗ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 89.0% | 11.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.7% | 4.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.8% | 4.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bradley Braves -1 (53-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Carmichael * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 32 | - |
| N. Moore * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| J. Ekey * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| T. Brown * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 15 | - |
| J. Wilkins * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| B. Allen | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. Threloff | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A. Cousin | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Hill | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Simms-Edwards * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 22 | - |
| J. Eastman * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| S. Shayok * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| A. Thompson * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| C. Woods * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| W. Lemon Jr. | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 28 | - |
| J. Prosser | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| J. Crawford | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
* = starter