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Illinois State Redbirds 54
@
Bradley Braves 53
2012-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 87.0% 13.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 80.5% 19.5% - ✓
Margin 84.4% 15.6% -9.3 ✓ (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 78.3% 21.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 93.1% 6.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 93.2% 6.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 69.6% 30.4% - ✓

Actual: Bradley Braves -1 (53-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jackie Carmichael * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 14 1 2 1 2 16 32 -
Nic Moore * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 5 9 -
Jon Ekey * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 1 10 17 -
Tyler Brown * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 1 3 9 15 -
John Wilkins * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 2 5 -
Bryant Allen 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 9 9 -
Jordan Threloff 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 5 -
Anthony Cousin 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 0 3 -
Johnny Hill 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dyricus Simms-Edwards * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 1 14 22 -
Jake Eastman * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 3 2 5 -
S. Shayok * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 4 8 -
Anthony Thompson * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 4 11 -
Charonn Woods * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 4 0 0 0 7 -
Walt Lemon 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 1 3 21 28 -
Jordan Prosser 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 2 7 -
Jalen Crawford 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 6 10 -

* = starter