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2012-02-01

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 12.8% 87.2% -
Bradley-Terry 13.6% 86.4% -
Margin 8.7% 91.3% +12.9 (15.1 off)
Pythagorean 40.1% 59.9% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.2% 63.8% -
Log Adjusted 36.1% 63.9% -

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +28 (102-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Brown * 34 7-15 2-3 5-5 3 4 0 1 2 21 12 -
J. Carmichael * 32 3-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 4 6 4 -
J. Ekey * 27 4-4 3-3 0-1 4 3 1 1 1 11 15 -
N. Moore * 23 4-10 1-5 2-2 2 4 3 0 2 11 8 -
J. Wilkins * 22 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 4 1 -
A. Cousin 24 1-7 0-5 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 2 -4 -
B. Allen 22 4-6 3-4 6-7 3 0 0 1 0 17 15 -
J. Threloff 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
J. Hill 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Z. Upshaw 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Blue 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. McDermott * 28 9-11 3-3 4-6 5 1 1 0 0 25 21 -
G. Gibbs * 27 4-8 1-4 3-4 4 7 2 0 2 12 15 -
A. Young * 26 2-6 0-1 1-2 1 7 2 0 1 5 8 -
J. Manigat * 18 3-4 3-4 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 11 10 -
G. Echenique * 17 3-7 0-0 4-4 6 0 0 0 1 10 8 -
J. Jones 19 3-8 2-7 2-3 1 2 1 0 1 10 5 -
W. Artino 16 3-3 0-0 5-5 4 1 0 0 0 11 13 -
E. Wragge 16 1-2 1-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
A. Chatman 13 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 3 0 0 2 2 4 -
A. Dingman 8 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
M. Dorwart 3 0-0 0-0 2-3 2 0 0 1 0 2 5 -
T. Stormberg 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Ferrarini 3 2-2 2-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 5 -
D. Sebastian 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter