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2012-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds Indiana State Sycamores Spread Result
Elo 39.7% 60.3% -
Bradley-Terry 40.6% 59.4% -
Margin 36.2% 63.8% +3.1 (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 61.0% 39.0% -
Efficiency 17.9% 82.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.9% 15.1% -
Log Adjusted 85.1% 14.9% -

Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +6 (83-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Moore * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 7 1 0 2 16 26 -
J. Ekey * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 6 10 -
J. Carmichael * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 3 3 15 18 -
T. Brown * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 13 17 -
J. Wilkins * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 7 14 -
A. Cousin 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 13 12 -
B. Allen 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 5 10 -
T. Blue 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Threloff 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
Z. Upshaw 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Indiana State Sycamores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Printy * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 2 0 0 15 23 -
C. Richard * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 9 14 -
J. Odum * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 7 0 1 1 34 48 -
M. Walker * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 2 16 23 -
R. Mahurin * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 6 -
S. McWhorter 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 2 2 -
L. Eitel 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 4 -
J. Gant 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
J. Kitchell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter