Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.7% | 72.3% | +5.3 | ✓ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs +17 (77-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Moore * | 31 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| T. Brown * | 31 | 4-13 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | -1 | - |
| A. Cousin * | 18 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Ekey | 35 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| J. Carmichael | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| B. Allen | 20 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Wilkins | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Hill | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Threloff | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jeffers * | 34 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| K. Alexander * | 19 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | - |
| A. Hawley * | 15 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Clarke * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| B. Simons | 40 | 7-12 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| K. Woods | 29 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 25 | - |
| R. Rice | 23 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| K. Madison | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | - |
| D. Smith | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| C. Parker | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter