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2012-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds Wichita State Shockers Spread Result
Elo 45.0% 55.0% -
Bradley-Terry 23.5% 76.5% -
Margin 11.8% 88.2% +11.1 (12.1 off)
Pythagorean 35.0% 65.0% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 10.9% 89.1% -
Log Adjusted 10.9% 89.1% -

Actual: Wichita State Shockers -1 (64-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Moore * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 12 18 -
T. Brown * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 0 3 25 31 -
J. Ekey * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 3 7 -
J. Carmichael * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 0 1 2 2 12 24 -
J. Wilkins * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 1 8 16 -
B. Allen 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
A. Cousin 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 1 5 -
Darious Clark 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Hill 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Z. Upshaw 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Smith * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 2 1 1 0 14 31 -
T. Murry * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 5 15 16 -
J. Ragland * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 17 19 -
D. Williams * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 3 -
G. Stutz * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 3 6 9 -
D. Kyles 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 2 5 9 -
C. Hall 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. White 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 7 12 -
T. Cotton 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
E. Orukpe 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter