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2012-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Indiana State Sycamores Illinois State Redbirds Spread Result
Elo 43.2% 56.8% -
Bradley-Terry 45.1% 54.9% -
Margin 36.5% 63.5% +3.1 (9.9 off)
Pythagorean 33.0% 67.0% -
Efficiency 76.1% 23.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.1% 90.9% -
Log Adjusted 8.9% 91.1% -

Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +13 (67-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana State Sycamores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Lathan * 29 3-11 1-5 1-2 8 1 1 0 1 8 6 -
C. Richard * 28 2-10 2-3 0-0 4 1 3 0 0 6 4 -
M. Walker * 28 2-6 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 1 0 4 4 -
J. Odum * 27 5-12 0-1 5-7 1 2 2 0 0 15 8 -
R. Mahurin * 20 2-7 1-6 2-2 2 0 0 1 1 7 2 -
J. Printy 26 2-7 2-7 0-1 4 1 1 1 1 6 5 -
S. McWhorter 20 1-4 0-2 0-1 2 2 0 0 1 2 1 -
J. Kitchell 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 4 4 -
L. Eitel 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Brown * 34 7-10 3-5 7-8 4 4 0 0 1 24 21 -
J. Carmichael * 33 7-8 0-0 3-6 11 1 0 0 5 17 16 -
J. Wilkins * 33 5-9 1-4 2-4 11 1 1 2 0 13 19 -
J. Ekey * 31 3-9 2-4 0-0 5 4 1 1 2 8 8 -
N. Moore * 22 0-2 0-0 2-2 2 5 0 0 3 2 4 -
A. Cousin 26 1-6 0-4 1-2 2 2 0 0 0 3 1 -
J. Hill 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Threloff 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Z. Upshaw 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter