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2012-01-13

Model Predictions

Model Creighton Bluejays Illinois State Redbirds Spread Result
Elo 77.4% 22.6% -
Bradley-Terry 78.1% 21.9% -
Margin 77.3% 22.7% -6.8 (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 53.9% 46.1% -
Efficiency 96.3% 3.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.8% 42.2% -
Log Adjusted 57.9% 42.1% -

Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -9 (78-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Gibbs * 37 3-8 0-3 6-8 7 10 0 0 4 12 17 -
D. McDermott * 34 9-14 1-1 1-3 9 1 0 0 4 20 12 -
A. Young * 34 5-9 0-0 3-6 0 5 0 0 1 13 8 -
G. Echenique * 21 3-5 0-0 1-2 10 0 1 1 1 7 13 -
J. Manigat * 19 4-5 4-5 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 14 12 -
J. Jones 21 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
E. Wragge 19 5-7 4-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 14 9 -
A. Chatman 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
W. Artino 5 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
A. Dingman 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Moore * 28 2-7 0-5 1-1 2 3 1 0 1 5 3 -
J. Ekey * 28 1-8 0-5 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 2 0 -
T. Brown * 26 3-11 1-6 1-2 5 3 0 0 0 8 5 -
J. Carmichael * 26 6-9 0-0 2-3 4 1 1 1 0 14 12 -
J. Wilkins * 22 3-6 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 6 5 -
B. Allen 29 11-17 5-9 2-2 3 3 1 0 0 29 19 -
A. Cousin 22 2-4 1-2 0-1 2 2 0 0 2 5 3 -
J. Threloff 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
J. Hill 9 3-4 1-2 0-1 2 0 1 0 0 7 6 -
Z. Upshaw 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter