Illinois Fighting Illini
2013 Team Stats (19 games)
65.4
PPG
64.8
Opp
+3.7
Margin
39.8%
FG%
28.9%
3P%
73.0%
FT%
32.5
RPG
9.1
APG
11.4
TO
76.4
Pace
Model Outputs
2012-2013
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1836 (#10) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1482 (#57) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1052 (#101) | HCA +147 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +37.4 (#25) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +19.3 (#41) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.569 (#47) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.427 (#114) | NetEff -2.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.771 (#32) | AdjNet +10.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.777 (#30) | AdjNet +10.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.643 (#74) | AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 59.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.863 (#52) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.839 (#53) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1247 (#42) | RD 104 | GP 36 |
2013 Schedule & Results
2013 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
B. Paul
|
G | 36 | 32.0 | 16.6 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 2.7 | 8.2 | 14.7 | - | - | - | 37.4 | 29.9 | 78.6 | 0.46 | 84.1 | 45.2 |
D.J. Richardson
|
G | 36 | 33.8 | 12.3 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 6.9 | 10.9 | 159 | 4.5 | 6.4 | 37.2 | 31.2 | 75.9 | 2.01 | 80.2 | 47.0 |
T. Abrams
|
G | 36 | 28.7 | 10.6 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 5.9 | 10.5 | 172 | 4.8 | 7.1 | 38.2 | 25.8 | 75.7 | 2.22 | 77.9 | 42.2 |
J. Bertrand
|
G | 35 | 22.7 | 7.3 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 3.8 | 8.1 | 14 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 48.1 | 24.2 | 78.8 | 0.05 | 86.4 | 51.1 |
T. Griffey
|
F | 36 | 21.8 | 7.2 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 4.0 | 7.6 | 135 | 3.8 | 7.0 | 40.6 | 30.1 | 68.2 | 1.6 | 84.8 | 49.3 |
N. Egwu
|
F | 36 | 25.4 | 6.5 | 4.9 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 3.7 | 9.2 | 42 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 45.5 | 33.3 | 64.0 | 0.72 | 81.0 | 45.9 |
S. McLaurin
|
F | 36 | 20.7 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 6.0 | 18 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 45.3 | 50.0 | 60.0 | 0.01 | 85.0 | 46.1 |
M. Henry
|
F | 35 | 10.6 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 3.8 | - | - | - | 35.7 | 25.8 | 64.3 | 0.77 | 90.1 | 42.9 |
M. La Tulip
|
G | 15 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.1 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 244.8 | 0.0 |
M. Shaw
|
F | 13 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.4 | -13 | -0.9 | -6.6 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.08 | 100.0 | 66.7 |
K. Berardini
|
G | 7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.1 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
D. Langford
|
G-F | 21 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 21 | 1.0 | 4.9 | 37.5 | 0 | 20.0 | 0.16 | 49.0 | 37.5 |
I. Djimde
|
C | 10 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 5 | 0.4 | 5.9 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG