Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 15.0% | 85.0% | +9.5 | ✗ (20.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs -11 (74-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Djimde | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D.J. Richardson * | 35 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| B. Paul * | 34 | 10-16 | 5-9 | 10-11 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 29 | - |
| T. Abrams * | 30 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| T. Griffey * | 18 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| N. Egwu * | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Henry | 22 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| S. McLaurin | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Bertrand | 20 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| M. Shaw | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Pangos * | 35 | 3-11 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| E. Harris * | 34 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| K. Olynyk * | 33 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 12 | - |
| G. Bell Jr. * | 33 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| G. Edi * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Hart | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| D. Stockton | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| P. Karnowski | 9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| S. Dower | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Dranginis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter