Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.9% | 62.1% | +2.7 | ✓ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +16 (80-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Richardson * | 34 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | - |
| B. Paul * | 34 | 2-13 | 1-6 | 11-12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 3 | - |
| T. Abrams * | 32 | 5-15 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 4 | - |
| N. Egwu * | 29 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| T. Griffey * | 26 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| J. Bertrand | 20 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| S. McLaurin | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Henry | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Langford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Zeller * | 34 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 24 | - |
| J. Hulls * | 33 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - |
| V. Oladipo * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Y. Ferrell * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| C. Watford * | 30 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| W. Sheehey | 17 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| R. Abell | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Hollowell | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. Mosquera-Perea | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter