Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.0% | 37.0% | -2.9 | ✓ (18.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -21 (41-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Paul * | 32 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| D.J. Richardson * | 30 | 8-15 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| S. McLaurin * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Bertrand * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| N. Egwu * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Abrams | 27 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| T. Griffey | 21 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| M. Henry | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Berardini | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Shaw | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Langford | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Djimde | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. La Tulip | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Abrahamson * | 32 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Demps * | 30 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| R. Hearn * | 30 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| D. Sobolewski * | 28 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| A. Olah | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| A. Marcotullio | 19 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| J. Montgomery III | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Turner | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| N. Cerina | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| O. Jimenez | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter