Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado Buffaloes | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.3% | 79.7% | +7.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +8 (57-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Booker * | 34 | 5-14 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1 | - |
| A. Roberson * | 34 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| J. Scott * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| X. Johnson * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| S. Dinwiddie * | 25 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| J. Adams | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| S. Chen | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Harris-Tunks | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| X. Talton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Richardson * | 37 | 5-14 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 3 | - |
| T. Abrams * | 34 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| N. Egwu * | 33 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| B. Paul * | 31 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 9-10 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| S. McLaurin * | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Griffey | 25 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Bertrand | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| M. Henry | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter