Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.4% | 75.6% | +6.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +7 (68-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Richardson * | 33 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| T. Abrams * | 29 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| B. Paul * | 28 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 7 | - |
| T. Griffey * | 26 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| N. Egwu * | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| J. Bertrand | 29 | 5-15 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| S. McLaurin | 21 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Henry | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Langford | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Johnson * | 37 | 9-18 | 1-2 | 6-9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 19 | - |
| D.J. Byrd * | 32 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | - |
| R. Johnson * | 29 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J. Lawson * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| A. Hammons * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| A. Johnson | 19 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| T. Carroll | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Hale | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Davis | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter