Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.2% | 60.8% | +2.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.7% | 96.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +2 (81-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Sullivan * | 35 | 8-17 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 8 | - |
| A. Payne * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| C. Denson * | 25 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 4 | - |
| R. Chubb * | 23 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | - |
| S. Johnson * | 19 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| J. Wallace | 23 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| A. Dixon-Tatum | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| N. Johnson | 17 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| B. Greene Jr. | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| C.J. Holmes | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Abrams * | 35 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 13-15 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 32 | - |
| B. Paul * | 31 | 3-12 | 0-5 | 7-10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 4 | - |
| T. Griffey * | 23 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D.J. Richardson * | 23 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| N. Egwu * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| S. McLaurin | 25 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| J. Bertrand | 21 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| M. Henry | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Langford | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. La Tulip | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter