Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.3% | 69.7% | +4.6 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines +13 (71-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Richardson * | 36 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| T. Abrams * | 35 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| B. Paul * | 28 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| N. Egwu * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| S. McLaurin * | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Bertrand | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| T. Griffey | 18 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| M. Henry | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Burke * | 39 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 8-10 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 26 | - |
| T. Hardaway Jr. * | 36 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 10 | - |
| G. Robinson III * | 36 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| N. Stauskas * | 26 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. McGary * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Morgan | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - |
| C. LeVert | 16 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| J. Horford | 7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| S. Albrecht | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter