Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.5% | 64.5% | +3.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 94.7% | 5.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +2 (74-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Zeller * | 33 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Y. Ferrell * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| V. Oladipo * | 31 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| C. Watford * | 30 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 5 | - |
| J. Hulls * | 29 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| W. Sheehey | 24 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| J. Hollowell | 9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Elston | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. Mosquera-Perea | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Creek | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Abell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Richardson * | 36 | 8-15 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 14 | - |
| B. Paul * | 33 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 6-7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 11 | - |
| S. McLaurin * | 28 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| T. Abrams * | 24 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| N. Egwu * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| T. Griffey | 31 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| J. Bertrand | 27 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| M. Henry | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter