Model Predictions
| Model | Western Carolina Catamounts | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +8 (72-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Western Carolina Catamounts
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tawaski King | 40 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | +12.4 |
| Trey Sumler | 40 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 4 | +6.7 |
| Brandon Boggs | 36 | 5-12 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | +12.8 |
| Preston Ross | 33 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 14 | +16.7 |
| James Sinclair | 30 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +8.6 |
| Mike Brown | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.4 |
| Tom Tankelewicz | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -4.1 |
| Rhett Harrelson | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -4.9 |
| Josh Mendenhall | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.9 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Paul | 35 | 5-15 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 3 | +2.5 |
| D.J. Richardson | 34 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | -1.0 |
| Tracy Abrams | 30 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | -8.1 |
| Sam McLaurin | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -16.9 |
| Tyler Griffey | 23 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1.2 |
| Nnanna Egwu | 17 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -9.5 |
| Joseph Bertrand | 16 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | -17.7 |
| Myke Henry | 12 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | +3.7 |
| Devin Langford | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +7.5 |
| Mike Shaw | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +4.6 |
* = starter