Model Predictions
| Model | Butler Bulldogs | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.6% | 52.4% | +0.6 | ✓ (16.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.6% | 59.4% | +4.2 | ✓ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +17 (78-61). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rotnei Clarke * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 27 | -19.9 |
| Kellen Dunham * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -15.7 |
| Roosevelt Jones * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -16.6 |
| Andrew Smith * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -3.8 |
| Khyle Marshall * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | -16.3 |
| Erik Fromm | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -6.4 |
| Chase Stigall | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6.2 |
| Kameron Woods | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -10.0 |
| Devontae Morgan | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -5.2 |
| Alex Barlow | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | +1.3 |
| Jackson Aldridge | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3.5 |
| Andrew Smeathers | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2.3 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Richardson * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 26 | +25.9 |
| Brandon Paul * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 27 | +11.7 |
| Tracy Abrams * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 20 | +23.4 |
| Nnanna Egwu * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +8.6 |
| Tyler Griffey * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 19 | +20.8 |
| Sam McLaurin | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | +5.1 |
| Joseph Bertrand | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +9.0 |
| Myke Henry | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +7.9 |
| Devin Langford | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.3 |
* = starter