Model Predictions
| Model | Butler Bulldogs | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.5% | 79.5% | +7.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +17 (78-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Clarke * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 27 | - |
| K. Dunham * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| R. Jones * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| A. Smith * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| K. Marshall * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| E. Fromm | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| C. Stigall | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Woods | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| D. Morgan | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Barlow | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| J. Aldridge | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Smeathers | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Richardson * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 26 | - |
| B. Paul * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 27 | - |
| T. Abrams * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 20 | - |
| N. Egwu * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| T. Griffey * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| S. McLaurin | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| J. Bertrand | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Henry | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D. Langford | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter