Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio State Buckeyes | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.0% | 61.0% | +2.5 | ✓ (16.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 90.5% | 9.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +19 (74-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Thomas * | 38 | 9-21 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 5 | - |
| A. Craft * | 38 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| L. Smith Jr. * | 30 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | - |
| S. Thompson * | 25 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| A. Williams * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Scott | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| L. Ross | 15 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -6 | - |
| E. Ravenel | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. McDonald | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Della Valle | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Richardson * | 35 | 3-11 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| B. Paul * | 34 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 13 | - |
| N. Egwu * | 30 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| T. Abrams * | 27 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 14 | - |
| T. Griffey * | 23 | 1-7 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Bertrand | 24 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| S. McLaurin | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| M. Henry | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter