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2013-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 57.1% 42.9% -
Bradley-Terry 41.9% 58.1% -
Margin 30.8% 69.2% +4.5 (18.5 off)
Pythagorean 43.9% 56.1% -
Efficiency 8.8% 91.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.6% 65.4% -
Log Adjusted 34.6% 65.4% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +23 (74-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Paul * 30 1-11 1-4 5-10 3 0 0 0 1 8 -1 -
D.J. Richardson * 28 7-11 1-3 1-1 2 0 3 0 1 16 9 -
T. Abrams * 22 4-8 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 1 9 5 -
T. Griffey * 20 1-6 0-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 -3 -
N. Egwu * 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -3 -
J. Bertrand 29 4-8 0-0 4-5 7 1 1 0 2 12 11 -
S. McLaurin 24 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 0 2 -
M. Shaw 19 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 2 4 -
M. Henry 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. La Tulip 5 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
I. Djimde 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Berardini 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Langford 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J.D. Wise 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Anderson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Brust * 37 3-8 2-4 0-0 5 3 0 0 1 8 7 -
M. Bruesewitz * 34 2-4 1-3 2-5 8 1 0 0 2 7 10 -
J. Berggren * 30 6-13 1-2 2-3 12 0 1 2 3 15 14 -
T. Jackson * 26 5-8 2-2 2-3 3 1 1 0 4 14 7 -
R. Evans * 19 4-5 0-0 2-2 4 1 1 0 2 10 9 -
S. Dekker 24 5-9 3-7 0-0 4 3 1 0 0 13 12 -
G. Marshall 14 2-7 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 0 -
F. Kaminsky 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
Z. Showalter 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Fahey 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Z. Bohannon 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Smith 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter