Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.7% | 56.3% | +1.4 | ✗ (15.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 91.7% | 8.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -14 (60-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hardaway Jr. * | 38 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| G. Robinson III * | 38 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| T. Burke * | 37 | 7-19 | 1-5 | 4-7 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 10 | - |
| N. Stauskas * | 34 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| J. Morgan * | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Horford | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| M. McGary | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| C. LeVert | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Bielfeldt | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. Albrecht | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Richardson * | 38 | 4-15 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| B. Paul * | 34 | 5-12 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 6 | - |
| T. Abrams * | 32 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| N. Egwu * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| S. McLaurin * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J. Bertrand | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| T. Griffey | 14 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Henry | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter